๐ Price Action ยท Breakout base
Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP)
Mark Minervini's VCP: 2โ4 progressively tighter pullbacks within a base, culminating in a low-volume dry-up. Buy on the breakout of the last contraction with a stop below the tightest low.
Setup
- Chart: daily candles on liquid growth stocks or leading sectoral names
- Identify a base forming after a strong prior uptrend (30%+ move over prior 3-6 months)
- Within the base, look for 2-4 pullbacks where each successive pullback is SHALLOWER than the last
- Volume should dry up progressively โ final contraction on very low volume ("volume dry-up")
Entry
Enter on the breakout candle above the base's resistance, confirmed by volume โฅ 1.5ร the base's average. The breakout should occur AT or shortly after the tightest contraction.
Exit
Take partial profits at 20-25% gain. Ride the balance with a trailing stop below rising swing lows.
Stop-loss
Below the low of the tightest (final) contraction. This is Minervini's "line in the sand" โ a break below invalidates the pattern entirely.
When it works
- Base forms in a strong overall bull market with sector strength
- Volume dry-up in the last contraction is very clear
- Stock is a leader in its space with strong fundamentals (though this catalog is technical-only)
When it fails
- Deteriorating pattern โ pullbacks getting wider instead of tighter
- Breakout on weak volume โ often reverses
- Bear-market regime where all bases eventually fail
General trading rules that apply
Regardless of the specific setup, these apply to every strategy on this site:
- Never risk more than 2% of your account on a single trade
- Place a hard stop-loss before entering โ no exceptions
- Journal every trade: setup, reason, outcome, one lesson
- After two consecutive losses, stop for the session
- Backtest and paper-trade for a month before deploying real capital
Every strategy here is part of our in-house catalogue, written and calibrated for Indian markets. Past behavior does not guarantee future results. Charts run against 2-year Nifty data โ actual results in your account will vary. Backtest, paper-trade, and size responsibly before risking real capital.