Ch 5 ยท Price Action
10 Chart Patterns for Price Action Trading
Head & Shoulders, Double / Triple Top and Bottom, Rounding, Island Reversal, Rectangle, Wedge, Triangle, Flag, Cup & Handle. Emphasis on how to trade them as a price-action reader, not as a pattern-matcher.
๐ 20 min
Chart patterns form over 20โ200 bars. Unlike bar patterns (Ch 3) and candlestick patterns (Ch 4), they encode structural intent over a longer time horizon. This chapter covers ten patterns from the price-action reader's perspective โ how to spot them forming, when the setup is real, and when it's forced.
The catalog and completion rules also appear in TA Chapter 4. This chapter emphasises the price-action reading โ how a discretionary trader identifies and trades these in real time, not after the fact.
โ ๏ธ The one rule that saves careers
Wait for pattern
completion โ the break of the defining boundary โ before entering. Anticipating patterns "that are forming" is the single most common reason traders lose money on chart patterns. Statistics: ~40% of head-and-shoulders patterns that "look like they're forming" never complete.
5.1 Head & Shoulders (and Inverse)
Three peaks: left shoulder, higher head, right shoulder roughly symmetric with the left. A trendline through the two intermediate lows is the neckline.
- Reading: uptrend prints a new high (head), then fails to hold, then the recovery fails to reach a new high (right shoulder). The failure to make a higher high is the whole signal โ buyers are getting exhausted
- Entry: close below the neckline (or short at the right shoulder retest with tight stop)
- Measured move: distance from head to neckline projected downward from the break
- Inverse H&S: mirror at a downtrend bottom, signals bullish reversal
5.2 Double / Triple Top and Bottom
Two (or three) rejections at approximately the same price. The neckline is the intermediate reaction extreme.
- Reading: the market keeps trying to break through a level and keeps failing. Each failed attempt saps momentum
- Failure mode: if the second (or third) touch prints a higher high (top pattern), the pattern is invalidated โ often a strong continuation signal
- Volume signature: second peak typically on lower volume (divergence)
5.3 Rounding Top / Rounding Bottom
Slow arc formation over many weeks. No sharp inflections. Rare but very high win-rate when clean.
- Reading: gradual shift from buyer to seller (or vice versa) with no single catalyst โ a slow accumulation or distribution
- Trade: position hold, often multi-month. Rarely tradeable intraday
5.4 Island Reversal
A group of bars completely isolated from surrounding price by gaps on both sides. The "island" of bars ends the prior trend.
- Structure: gap in the trend direction โ several bars forming a small consolidation โ gap in the opposite direction, leaving the middle bars isolated
- Reading: the gap out is the smoking gun. The market fully re-priced and left no volume behind at the extremes
- Rare in India intraday (most Indian indices don't gap much); more common on stock charts with earnings-related gaps
5.5 Rectangle (trading range)
Horizontal support and resistance defining a range. Price oscillates between them for a period.
- Reading: equilibrium โ buyers step in at support, sellers step in at resistance. Neither side breaks through
- Trade inside โ mean-reversion: buy near support, sell near resistance
- Trade breakout โ the bigger trade. When one side finally breaks, measured move = rectangle height projected in the breakout direction
- Statistical bias โ ~65% of rectangle breakouts resolve in the direction of the prior trend before the range formed
5.6 Wedge (Rising / Falling)
Two converging trendlines both sloping in the same direction.
- Rising wedge (both lines rising, upper less steep) โ bearish. Momentum is running out despite price still rising
- Falling wedge (both lines falling, lower less steep) โ bullish. Selling is exhausted despite price still falling
- Counterintuitive โ the pattern's expected break direction is opposite to its slope. This traps traders who read it as continuation
5.7 Triangle (Symmetrical / Ascending / Descending)
Converging trendlines forming an increasingly narrow range.
- Symmetrical โ lower highs + higher lows. Neutral bias; ~55/45 slight lean to prior trend
- Ascending โ flat top + rising lows. Bullish bias (buyers getting more aggressive with each touch)
- Descending โ flat bottom + falling highs. Bearish bias
- Reading: volatility contraction. Regardless of direction, an expansion is coming
- Timing: best breaks come before the apex; breaks at or beyond the apex are often exhausted
5.8 Flag / Pennant
Sharp move ("flagpole"), then tight consolidation ("flag" = parallel channel, "pennant" = small triangle).
- Reading: the market caught its breath after a big move. The consolidation is short (5โ15 daily bars, 20โ60 intraday bars) and orderly
- Entry: break in the direction of the flagpole
- Measured move: flagpole length projected from the breakout
- Failure mode: if the flag deepens past 50% of the flagpole, the continuation thesis is dead
5.9 Cup & Handle
Bullish continuation. Rounded "cup" over weeks/months, followed by a smaller downward "handle" consolidation. Break above the handle high = entry.
- Cup depth ideally 15โ30% of the prior uptrend; deeper cups have lower success rate
- Handle should retrace โค 30โ50% of the cup depth
- Volume dries up in the handle and expands on the break โ this is the confirmation
5.10 The price-action edge on chart patterns
Most retail traders use chart patterns as recognition templates โ "this looks like a triangle, so I'll trade the break." Price-action readers use them differently. They watch for:
- Volume signature agreement โ pattern-appropriate volume behaviour through formation and break
- Higher-timeframe alignment โ trade breakouts only when they're aligned with the higher-timeframe trend
- Level context โ is the pattern completing at a broader structural level (multi-month S/R, round number)?
- Retest entry โ take entries on the retest of the broken level, not the initial break. Lower win rate on trigger, higher win rate per trade
A pattern with all four aligned is high-conviction. A pattern lacking any of them is either "wait" or "skip" โ regardless of how textbook the shape looks.