You expect a big move but don't know which way. Buy volatility — a call AND a put together. If the underlying explodes in either direction, you profit. If it stays calm, you lose the double premium. Perfect for event trading.
Straddle costs more but wins on smaller moves. Strangle is cheaper but needs a bigger move to profit.
Situations where you expect a big move but direction is uncertain:
Sensex at ₹80,000. RBI policy on Friday. Expected implied volatility is elevated already.
Break-evens (at expiry):
Payoffs:
Sensex at 81,500 (huge rally): Call worth 1,500. Put worthless. Payoff = 30,000 − 13,800 = +₹16,200.
Sensex at 78,500 (sharp drop): Put worth 1,500. Call worthless. Payoff = 30,000 − 13,800 = +₹16,200.
Sensex at 80,100 (barely moved): Call worth 100, put worth 0. Payoff = 2,000 − 13,800 = −₹11,800.
Sensex at 80,000 (unchanged — worst case): Both worthless. Loss = ₹13,800.
Same setup, but use OTM strikes:
Break-evens:
Half the cost of the straddle, but the profit zone is narrower. Needs a bigger move to reach break-even.
Total cost = Call premium + Put premium
Upper break-even = Strike + Total cost per share
Lower break-even = Strike − Total cost per share
Max loss = Total cost (if underlying = strike at expiry)
Max profit = Unlimited (upside) / Large (downside, capped at strike)
Here’s the trap: on event days, options are already priced for a big move. Implied volatility (IV) is elevated. After the event, IV collapses (“IV crush”) even if the price moves.
Sensex at 80,000 pre-RBI. Straddle costs ₹690 (very expensive due to high IV).
Actual move: Sensex ends at 80,400 (+0.5%).
Post-event IV crashes. Call worth 400 intrinsic (was 350, so profit on call = 50). Put worthless (loss 340). Net: 50 − 340 = −₹5,800.
You were right about direction! But IV crush killed the trade.
For an event straddle to work, the actual move must exceed what the market has priced in. If Sensex typically moves 700 points on RBI days and the market prices 900 points into the straddle, you need more than 900-point move to profit. Directional accuracy is not enough.
Advanced traders sometimes do the opposite — sell straddles/strangles pre-event to capture IV crush. This is a short straddle (Chapter 9). Higher win rate but tail risk if the move is huge.
Payoff calculator → “Long straddle” preset. Notice the V-shape — profits from moves in either direction, loses in the middle.